- Date: 2025-07-24
Disruption Score: 79 | Fear Index: 74Trend: Compared to the baseline, the Disruption and Fear Index remain significantly elevated. While there's a slight decrease compared to previous days, the overall levels indicate a persistent state of concern and operational challenges within the US immigration system.
Disruption Score: 79. The US immigration system remains significantly disrupted based on the Reddit posts, with disruptions showing only a slight decrease. The key factors contributing to this score include:
* Visa Processing Issues and Backlogs: Delays persist in obtaining visas, processing times, and interview scheduling. Discussions surround H1B visa stamping appointments in Canada, F2 to F1 COS, overstays, and the complexity of visa processes. Technical issues also continue, adding to user frustration.
* Enforcement Concerns: Concerns persist regarding ICE enforcement, potential deportations, and the legal ramifications of past actions. The deportation risks associated with traffic violations, potential detentions, and legal proceedings continue to drive disruption, along with deportation to third countries. Users are also living in fear surrounding legal issues.
* Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Discussions regarding policy changes, legal ramifications, and enforcement concerns continue to add to system disruption, including concerns about H1B visa changes and the potential impact on students. Confusion surrounding various processes and legal requirements drives disruption.
* Real-Life Consequences: Discussions surround financial strain, potential job losses, travel restrictions, access to health care, and financial impacts on individuals and families.
* System Navigation Difficulties: Users continue to face challenges navigating the system, understanding forms, and knowing what steps to take. Frustration is evident due to the lack of transparency and communication from USCIS and NVC.
Fear Index: 74. The fear and anxiety surrounding immigration and immigrants remain high, showing only a slight decrease. Primary drivers of fear are:
* Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxieties regarding ICE enforcement, potential deportations, and safety in the US are driving fear, coupled with potential detainment at ports of entry, raising anxieties.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Anxieties surround approval for visas, long processing times, potential case denials, and requests for further evidence. Concerns about fairness, safety, and discrimination remain.
* Policy Change Fears: Anxieties regarding potential policy changes and the inconsistent application of rules contribute to elevated fear levels, particularly surrounding the new H1B rules.
* Economic Fears: Job insecurity and economic prospects further contribute to fear and anxiety levels, with uncertainties surrounding employment authorization and job security.
* Safety Fears: Safety fears stem from potential violence and concerns for personal safety. People express concerns surrounding fairness, safety, and discrimination.
- Date: 2025-07-23
Disruption Score: 78 | Fear Index: 76Trend: The Disruption Score remains high at 78, showing minor decrease compared to the levels of the previous week (average of 77.43), and increase as compared to the baseline (50). The Fear Index is also high at 76, showing a slight decrease from the previous days(average of 74.71) and an increase compared to the baseline (50). Both scores indicate a persistent level of disturbance and anxiety within the US immigration system and among immigrants.
Disruption Score: 78. The US immigration system continues to show significant disruption based on the Reddit posts, reflecting issues similar to recent days. Key factors include:
* Visa Delays and Processing Issues: Delays in obtaining visas, processing times, interview cancellations, and the need to obtain required documentation continue to cause disruption. Examples include problems with birth certificate submissions, timelines for NVC processing, concerns surrounding overstays, difficulties navigating the consular process, lost property (US birth certificate), and questions about interviews. People applying for J1 are finding it hard to get sponsored, as are people trying to obtain F1 visas.
* Enforcement Concerns: Anxieties surrounding ICE enforcement continue to play a key role in driving disruption, as does the risk of detention or deportation. The discussion of a husband with a deportation order, ICE enforcement, potential deportations and detention lead to increased concerns. The fear undocumented individuals face, traffic violations leading to deportation risks, and safety issues drive disruption.
* Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Policy and legal uncertainty regarding immigration rules contributes to system disruption. Potential policy changes, legal ramifications, and enforcement concerns continue to play a significant role, adding to overall disruption. Policy questions concerning birthright citizenship also add to this.
* Real Life Consequences: Real-life impacts including job losses and economic instability contribute to disruption. Financial anxiety and job insecurity are evident, including financial strains for those applying to college or facing job insecurity on H1B visas.
* System Navigation Difficulties: System navigation challenges, understanding forms, difficulty following USCIS and NVC processes, and a lack of transparency further contribute to disruption.
Fear Index: 76. Fear and anxiety regarding immigration and immigrants remains elevated, but shows a slight decrease from the previous day. The key drivers are:
* Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Concerns surrounding ICE enforcement, deportations, safety in the US, and potential for ending up in detention remain drivers of fear. Those who are undocumented are living in fear, as are those with potential removal proceedings.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: There is anxiety concerning approval for visas, long processing times, case denials, RFE. Anxieties surrounding access to medical care, safety in the US and abroad, are also present. Discussion also generates safety concern. Economic anxieties surrounding job loss and security also play a role. Concerns relating to financial costs of immigration are generating anxiety.
* Policy Change Fears: Fear regarding policy changes, potential for inconsistent application of the rules, and potential Trump related actions generate anxiety. Trump's policies and changes regarding Medicaid also contribute. Discussion regarding safety and security fuel fears.
* Economic Fears: Job security, potential job losses due to policy changes, and economic costs of the immigration process contribute to fear. Safety Fears: Safety fears due to potential violence fuel anxieties.
- Date: 2025-07-22
Disruption Score: 75 | Fear Index: 72Trend: Disruption Score: 75. This is a slight increase compared to the previous score of 68 on 2025-07-21, remaining still higher than the established baseline of 50. Fear Index: 72. This is a slight increase compared to the previous score of 69 on 2025-07-21, remaining still higher than the established baseline of 50.
Disruption Score: 75. The Reddit posts continue to indicate significant disruption within the US immigration system. Factors driving this score include:
* Visa Processing Issues and Delays: The persistent issue of visa delays and long processing times is evident in various posts, including discussions on F2B to F1 switches, G4 visa administrative processing, and general processing delays for passport renewals. Issues surrounding medical conditions and the need for public health service assessment at the port of entry (POE) for fiancés also highlight these complexities.
* Enforcement Concerns: Concerns surrounding ICE enforcement and deportation are amplified by posts about I589 dismissals and referrals to ICE, deportation risks for those with traffic violations, and the detention of immigrants. The GAO report indicating past instances of ICE detaining and removing US citizens adds historical context to these concerns.
* Policy and Legal Uncertainty: The ongoing discussions surrounding the impact of potential policy changes, legal ramifications, and enforcement concerns continue to drive disruption. This is evident in the post about the new Trump policy ending the H1B visa lottery and the resulting impact on students.
* Real Life Consequences: The real-life impacts of the immigration system on individuals and families are evident in various posts. These include: help needed by those in Gaza, help for a Syrian trapped in Syria, a user facing a potential I-485 denial due to honesty in disclosing unauthorized work, financial instability, housing and healthcare challenges, and potential job losses.
Fear Index: 72. The levels of fear and anxiety related to immigration remain elevated. The primary drivers are:
* Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxieties about ICE enforcement, potential deportations, and general safety in the US are evident. The discussion of the I589 dismissal and referrals to ICE, the need for help from those in Gaza and Syria, the implementation of policies leading to potential deportation, and the deportation of long-term immigrants all contribute to increased anxiety.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Concerns surround approval for visas, green cards, and other immigration benefits. These anxieties are evident in posts about the visa rejections (and the reasons for the rejections), and potential denials. People express concerns surrounding fairness, safety, and discrimination.
* Policy Change Fears: The discussion surrounding potential policy changes, especially those related to the H1B visa and birthright citizenship, generate anxiety and fear.
* Economic Fears: Job insecurity and economic prospects contribute to fear, as seen with users seeking remote work and others facing potential job losses.
* Safety and Discrimination: Safety issues related to potential violence and discrimination fuel anxieties.
- Date: 2025-07-21
Disruption Score: 68 | Fear Index: 69Trend: Compared to the baseline scores (Disruption: 50, Fear: 50), both the Disruption Score and Fear Index remain elevated. Compared to yesterday's scores (Disruption: 77, Fear: 75), both the Disruption Score and Fear index are slightly lower, showing a slight decrease in both disruption and fear.
Disruption Score: 68. Based on the Reddit posts, the US immigration system continues to experience moderate to significant disruption. Factors contributing to this include:
* Visa Processing Issues: Delays in visa processing times and difficulties in obtaining visas (e.g., B2 visas changing status to refused, H1B renewals, K1 visa delays, green card renewals) are sources of ongoing disruption. There are also users who may be gaming the system, which generates backlogs. For example, a user is trying to see if its okay to use a Schengen Visa from Netherlands even though he plans to stay in France longer, which is seen as trying to abuse the visa. Also the F1 student trying to use an unauthorized employment creates disruption, generating fear and the possibility of deportation, as does the user trying to seek legal advice on illegal activities to obtain permanent residency.
* Enforcement Concerns: There are concerns around ICE enforcement, detention, deportation, potential policy changes, as well as deportation to third countries. Specific examples include the story of an 82-year-old man being deported, and a husband being detained after a credible fear interview. Also generating concerns is those who have lost their F-1 visa status facing removal proceedings, which contributes to system disruption.
* Economic Instability and Job Security: Financial anxieties and job insecurity, particularly among those on H1B visas who are facing layoffs, also highlight the economic disruption caused by immigration policies. The fact that a user is looking for remote work (data entry, support, anything) after being laid off from a H1B visa generates concern. Difficulties in managing property if one is undocumented are also seen.
* System Navigation Difficulties: There are difficulties in navigating the system, especially for those with records, and also for finding affordable representation.
* Legal and Policy Uncertainty: Legal and policy uncertainty surrounding immigration are disruptive elements. This includes the impact of policy changes on those with a removal notice, the safety of biometrics appointments, changes regarding the need to have continuous US residency until oath, and discussions about birthright citizenship contribute to policy uncertainty and disruption.
Fear Index: 69. Fear and anxiety levels remain elevated. The drivers of fear are:
* Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Deportation fears are again heightened by the ICE enforcement stories, those facing removal proceedings, the potential deportation of long term undocumented immigrants, and also safety concerns.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Anxieties around case outcomes (visa approvals/denials, green card processing times, RFE, green card rejections) contribute to fear, as does the anxiety surrounding international travel and detention at ports of entry.
* Economic Fears: Job security, potential job losses due to policy changes, economic costs of the immigration process are contributing to fear. The fact that a user is looking for remote work (data entry, support, anything) after being laid off from a H1B visa generates concern. Difficulties in managing property if one is undocumented are also seen.
* Safety Fears: There are safety fears and concerns surrounding discrimination, potential for domestic violence and related immigration consequences.
* Policy Change Fears: Anxieties around inconsistent application of rules and policy changes contribute to fear. Concerns around fairness are also generating anxieties. There are also safety concerns generated surrounding people traveling to potentially unsafe places.
- Date: 2025-07-20
Disruption Score: 77 | Fear Index: 75Trend: Compared to the baseline, both the Disruption Score and Fear Index remain significantly elevated. The Disruption Score is stable compared to yesterday, but slightly higher than the 7-day average. The Fear Index is also stable compared to yesterday, but slightly higher than the 7-day average, indicating a consistent level of concern and disruption in the US immigration landscape.
Disruption Score: 77. Based on the Reddit posts, the US immigration system continues to experience significant disruption, remaining similar to the disruption levels of the previous week. Visa processing delays, policy uncertainty, and the impact on individuals' lives are major contributing factors. Specific examples include the Iranian father arrested by ICE, the complexities faced by L2 visa holders seeking work authorization, individuals facing visa denials due to prior criminal records (even if dismissed), and the new H1B rule potentially weighing lottery chances based on salary level, adding to overall system uncertainty and navigation difficulties. The emphasis on policy changes concerning H1B visas as well as the concerns related to the travel ban reflect uncertainty. Additionally, the N-565 rejection, travel issues with expired visas, difficulty obtaining required documentation, and confusion over forms all indicate system navigation difficulties. This also includes the challenge of finding housing and healthcare which are disrupted.
Fear Index: 75. The fear and anxiety levels related to immigration remain high. Discussions around ICE enforcement, case outcome anxieties, and potential policy changes are drivers of fear. For instance, deportation fears for the Iranian father, concerns about visa denials, potential enforcement actions, long processing times, and difficulty obtaining work authorization on an L2 visa. The conversation on whether to reveal HIV status generates concern, as does the situation for TPS holders from Venezuela. People express concerns surrounding fairness, safety, discrimination, as well as safety issues and economic fears. The fears regarding safety with a potential Trump presidency also play a role.
- Date: 2025-07-19
Disruption Score: 76 | Fear Index: 73Trend: The Disruption and Fear Index both decreased compared to the previous week, showing a slight improvement in the overall sentiment and operational stability. However, both scores remain elevated compared to the baseline, suggesting ongoing challenges and uncertainties within the immigration system.
Disruption Score: 76. The US immigration system remains significantly disrupted, showing a minor decrease compared to the disruption levels of the previous week, but is still higher than the established baseline of 50. The key elements driving the disruption are:
* Visa Processing Issues and Backlogs: Discussions surround difficulties in obtaining visas, and long processing times. This includes issues surrounding passport renewals, interview cancellations, I-130 processing times, visa stamping delays, and technical issues (e.g., incorrect information on forms, document loss). The substitute Brazilian passport also highlights issues surrounding visa application processes.
* Enforcement Concerns: Discussions revolve around traffic violations leading to deportation risk, potential deportations, fear of ICE enforcement, and detention at ports of entry. The implementation of policies leading to potential deportation to third countries where they aren't citizens is also generating fear and disruption. For example, in Keller, TX, a formal partnership with ICE highlights heightened enforcement.
* Real Life Consequences: There are discussions surrounding financial strain, potential job losses, travel restrictions, safety issues, and challenges in accessing medical care, such as having to travel to unsafe countries for medical care. Challenges relating to health, family separation, and economic instability are generating disruption.
* Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Discussions revolve around potential policy changes, legal ramifications, and enforcement concerns, adding to overall disruption. Policy uncertainty around birthright citizenship and the effects of new bills contribute to this. One post highlights potential deportation of immigrants to countries where they are not citizens.
* System Navigation Difficulties: Users face difficulties navigating the system, understanding forms, and knowing what steps to take. Discussions are also seen related to difficulties surrounding criminal records, and errors on forms. Users express frustration with the lack of transparency and communication from USCIS.
Fear Index: 73. The fear and anxiety levels related to immigration remain high, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous day's levels and the last week, but are still higher than the established baseline of 50. The main drivers of fear are:
* Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxieties surrounding ICE enforcement, potential deportations, and general safety in the US are apparent. The risk of detention at interviews, ports of entry, and challenges for GC holders traveling internationally also contribute to this.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Concerns surround approval for visas, long processing times, potential denials, and case denial contribute to fear, as does the anxiety surrounding international travel. People express concern surrounding fairness, safety, and discrimination, as well as safety issues. Discussions about financial costs of immigration contribute to anxiety.
* Policy Change Fears: Anxieties are evident regarding the possibility of policy changes, birthright citizenship, and potential for inconsistent application of the rules, all adding to fear levels. Fear about potential Trump related actions also contributes, as do his policies regarding changes to Medicaid.
* Economic Fears: Job security and economic prospects are also contributing to fear.
* There are safety fears as well due to safety concerns, including domestic violence and potential deportations to unsafe countries.
- Date: 2025-07-18
Disruption Score: 78 | Fear Index: 75Trend: Compared to the baseline scores of 50, the Disruption Score remains high (78), indicating ongoing challenges within the US immigration system. While slightly down from the previous day, the Fear Index has also decreased (75), however overall it reflects slightly reduced anxieties surrounding immigration enforcement and policy.
Disruption Score: 78. Based on the Reddit posts, the US immigration system continues to experience significant disruption. The reasons for this score are:
* Visa Delays and Complexities: The system is disrupted by difficulties in obtaining visas (e.g., B1/B2 denials, L1A rejections, student visas). A crucial factor is the complexity involved in navigating visa processes across different countries (e.g., obtaining a visa from a third country like Australia). Some users are trying to bypass the proper visa channels (ETA visa leading to B1 Work Visa in Israel), causing more problems in the long run.
* Economic Instability for Immigrants: Financial anxieties and job insecurity are evident, particularly among those on H1B visas who are facing layoffs and are considering their options. Loss of a job during immigration processing creates heightened disruption for those involved. There are also economic concerns regarding costs associated with the green card process.
* Legal and Policy Uncertainty: Discussions surrounding Trump related concerns around safety. In addition, policy and legal ramifications also play a role (e.g. the potential need to move to third countries due to visa complications). A DUI record impacts a green card renewal.
* Navigation Difficulties: Navigation challenges surround marriage, DS-260 change requests, overstays, finding attorneys, and managing family reunification. Technical difficulties further contribute.
Fear Index: 75. Fear and anxiety levels remain elevated. The primary drivers are:
* Case Outcome Fears: Anxieties revolve around the outcomes of visa applications, green card approvals, and potential deportations (heightened fears for those with a record, potential end of TPS, ICE enforcement). Case outcome anxieties also revolve around the financial costs of immigration. Discussions about UAC and deportation to third countries are also contributing to increased fear.
* Policy and Enforcement Fears: Fear also emerges from discussions surrounding potential policy changes and the strict enforcement of immigration laws, generating concern for personal safety. Those who are undocumented are living in fear.
* Financial Instability: Job insecurity and economic difficulties faced by immigrants contribute to fear. There are safety fears as well due to safety concerns.
- Date: 2025-07-17
Disruption Score: 82 | Fear Index: 80Trend: The Disruption Score has slightly increased from 80 to 82, while the Fear Index has increased from 78 to 80. This indicates a continued upward trend in both the level of disruption and anxiety within the US immigration system based on the Reddit discussions.
Disruption Score: 82. Based on the Reddit posts, the US immigration system is highly disrupted. This score reflects the persistence of previously identified issues. The reasons for this score are:
* Removal Proceedings: The first post, about a notice to recalender removal proceedings highlights the possibility of deportation and long court processes, reflecting systemic disruption.
* Property Issues: A user asking about undocumented property owners notes challenges and difficulties in managing assets if one is detained or deported, showcasing navigation difficulties and policy uncertainty.
* Yow by BDV Scams: Users share their experience and warn others of scams in the EB3 program, revealing difficulties in finding legitimate immigration pathways and potential economic disruptions.
* Travel Issues: The post about a woman being denied entry to Guatemala and the discussion around B1/B2 visas reveals difficulties surrounding international travel.
* General Processing Delays: Discussions surround visa delays and backlogs, as seen with the F4 Applicant derivative beneficiary, and F1 visa denials. There are continued discussions related to EAD and Green card delays, appointment cancellations, and interview wait times. Issues surrounding people living in the USA and filing for asylum. All of these generate uncertainty and system navigation difficulties.
* Real Life Consequences: The posts discussing challenges related to F1 visas and pilot training, and those who are undocumented with little means highlight financial, safety, health, and job concerns. The overall narrative underscores the severity of real-life consequences, including the potential need to return to unsafe environments. Challenges are specifically highlighted surrounding family separations, and the financial issues surrounding immigration.
Fear Index: 80. Fear and anxiety levels remain very high. The main drivers are:
* Deportation and Enforcement Fears: This is evident in the discussion about removal proceedings, traffic violations, and ICE enforcement, along with safety concerns. The risk of detention and challenges for GC holders traveling internationally is also generating fear. People express concerns about fairness, safety, and discrimination. Those who are undocumented are living in fear.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Concerns surrounding approval for visas, potential denials, and long processing times contribute to fear, as well as the anxiety surrounding international travel. Challenges associated with access to medical care and financial security also fuel anxiety. Anxieties are also increased due to delays and the risk of RFE, along with economic and safety concerns.
* Policy Change Fears: Anxieties are evident regarding the possibility of policy changes, birthright citizenship, and potential for inconsistent application of the rules, all adding to fear levels. Economic Fears: Job security and economic prospects are also contributing to fear.
* Safety Concerns: Those who are facing safety issues are also evident, generating concern for one's safety.
- Date: 2025-07-16
Disruption Score: 80 | Fear Index: 78Trend: Disruption Score: Increased from baseline (50) and previous days (77). Fear Index: Increased from baseline (50) and previous days (74). The overall trend indicates an escalation in both disruption within the US immigration system and fear/anxiety surrounding immigration, reflecting increasing concerns about visa processes, enforcement, and policy changes, as well as economic fears and safety anxieties.
Disruption Score: 80. Based on the Reddit posts, the US immigration system remains highly disrupted. This score is a slight increase from yesterday and the baseline, indicating a heightened level of chaos and uncertainty in the system. Several factors contribute to this score:
* Visa Processing Issues and Backlogs: Discussions regarding visa stamping delays, difficult obtaining appointments, challenges related to consular appointments, and passport renewals. The example of those with past records all contribute.
* Enforcement Concerns: There is heightened concern related to potential deportations for even minor issues, ICE enforcement and detention, and the challenges faced by even GC holders, including deportation risks and detention at ports of entry. Fear is evident in discussions surrounding those with criminal records.
* Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Discussions revolve around potential policy changes, legal ramifications, and enforcement concerns, adding to overall disruption. Discussions about the memo related to deportation to third countries also contributes. There is also noted disruption regarding undocumented parents preparing for giving up kids and fears surrounding those who need to move out of the US, and those with medical issues.
* System Navigation Difficulties: Many users express difficulty navigating the system, understanding forms, knowing what steps to take, and following USCIS processes, generating frustration. Discussions about those going through family sponsorship applications highlight how difficult the system can be.
* Real Life Consequences: Economic instability, potential job losses, challenges surrounding travel, and safety issues continue to contribute to disruption. This includes the financial costs of immigration, challenges to job market prospects, and a need for legal representation.
Fear Index: 78. Fear and anxiety levels are elevated, primarily due to:
* Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxieties surrounding ICE enforcement, potential deportations, and general safety in the US contribute to fear levels, as does the policy regarding deportation to third countries. Stories of legal immigrants facing deportation also fuel fears. Fears are also generated by discussions surrounding those who have a record or are facing the end of TPS.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Concerns surrounding approval for visas, long processing times, and case denial contribute to fear, as does the anxiety surrounding international travel. People express concern surrounding fairness, safety, and discrimination, as well as anxiety relating to having to move to unsafe countries. Challenges associated with access to medical care and financial security are also generating anxieties. The inability to support oneself also generates concern.
* Policy Change Fears: Anxieties are evident regarding the possibility of policy changes, birthright citizenship, and potential for inconsistent application of the rules, all adding to fear levels. Fear about potential Trump related actions also contributes, as do his policies regarding changes to Medicaid. Discussion regarding safety and security fuel fears.
* Economic Fears: Job security and economic prospects are also contributing to fear.
* Past experiences are generating anxieties related to case outcomes and ability to achieve one's goals (employment, education, reuniting with family). Discussions regarding safety and security further fuel fears.
- Date: 2025-07-15
Disruption Score: 77 | Fear Index: 74Trend: Compared to the baseline, both scores are significantly higher, indicating a more disrupted system and increased fear. The disruption score is slightly decreased from the past week, and the fear index is slightly decreased from the past week, indicating a slight possible downward trend.
Disruption Score: 77. Based on the Reddit posts, the US immigration system continues to face substantial disruption. This score reflects the persistence of previously identified issues and is supported by these elements:
*Visa Processing Issues and Backlogs: Discussions regarding long processing times for various forms (I-130, I-485, I-765, N-400), passport renewals, and challenges related to consular appointments continue. The example of I-765 rejections due to outdated forms shows ongoing administrative errors. Passport delivery issues and difficulty retrieving them also play a role.
*Enforcement Concerns: Anxieties related to ICE enforcement activities are apparent, including discussions about potential deportation for traffic violations, difficulty navigating the legal system, and ICE activities at airports.
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Discussions revolve around potential policy changes, the effects of the 'big beautiful bill', and birthright citizenship, all contributing to disruption. Enforcement concerns, the application of immigration law, and what rights migrants have also contribute.
*System Navigation Difficulties: Many users express difficulties navigating the system, understanding forms, knowing what steps to take, difficulties surrounding criminal records, lost green cards, and what to include.
*Real Life Consequences: Potential job losses, economic instability, health concerns, difficulties surrounding travel, and general safety issues continue to contribute to disruption.
Fear Index: 74. Fear and anxiety levels remain high due to:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxiety surrounding ICE enforcement, potential deportations, and general safety in the US are evident. The risk of detention at interviews and challenges for GC holders traveling internationally also contribute to this.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Concerns about the approval for visas, long processing times, and case denials contribute to fear, as does the anxiety surrounding international travel. People express concern surrounding fairness, safety, discrimination, as well as safety issues.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties are evident regarding the possibility of policy changes, birthright citizenship, and potential for inconsistent application of the rules, all adding to fear levels. Fear about potential Trump related actions also contributes.
*Economic Fears: Concerns surrounding job security, economic prospects, and the financial costs of immigration are all factors, including the fees associated with filing forms and economic stability. Anxieties surrounding safety and discrimination in the US remain high.
*Past experiences are generating anxieties related to case outcomes and ability to achieve one's goals (employment, education, reuniting with family).
*Discussion regarding safety and security further fuel fears.
- Date: 2025-07-14
Disruption Score: 78 | Fear Index: 76Trend: Compared to the baseline (Disruption: 50, Fear: 50), both scores remain considerably higher, indicating ongoing significant disruption and elevated fear levels. Compared to the previous 7 days, the disruption and fear remain about the same as the previous days.
Disruption Score: 78. Based on the Reddit posts, the US immigration system continues to face significant disruption. Several factors contribute:
*Visa Processing Issues and Backlogs: Discussions highlight continued visa delays, passport renewals, and EAD processing times, contributing to ongoing disruption. Specific issues include difficulties tracking passport status, the need to resubmit medical exams, delays related to I-824 processing, and appointment cancellations.
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Policy changes and enforcement concerns all contribute to uncertainty and disruption, as highlighted through the discussion about the new policy of deporting immigrants to countries where they are not citizens. Discussions around DUI and impact on green card holders/naturalization, possible travel issues, and concerns with expired documents also all contribute.
*Enforcement Concerns: There is concern related to traffic violations leading to deportation risk, detention at ports of entry, and potential challenges for GC holders traveling internationally. The issue of ICE arrests on school property highlights enforcement activity.
*System Navigation Difficulties: Many users express difficulty navigating the system, understanding forms, and following USCIS processes, generating frustration. Discussions about how to correct mistakes on applications add to disruption.
*Real Life Consequences: Job losses due to the complexities of the H1B process and fear of deportation all contribute to the human impact of the disruption.
Fear Index: 76. Fear and anxiety levels remain high, primarily due to:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxieties around ICE enforcement, potential deportation for traffic violations, and general safety in the US contribute to fear levels, as does the policy regarding deportation to third countries. There are also continued anxieties about people getting ICE clearance.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Concerns surrounding approval for visas, long processing times, and case denial contribute to fear. Case outcome anxieties, along with concerns surrounding the financial costs of immigration also play a role. Also generating fear are the challenges of travel and risks of case denial or immigration holds.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties about the fairness of the immigration system remain high. Fear about potential trump related actions also contribute.
*Economic Fears: Job security and economic prospects are also contributing to fear.
*Safety Concerns: Fears related to safety also continue, as generated from discussions of potentially having to travel to unsafe places.
- Date: 2025-07-13
Disruption Score: 79 | Fear Index: 77Trend: Both the Disruption and Fear Index scores remain stable compared to yesterday, holding at 79 and 77 respectively. This indicates that the factors driving disruption and anxiety within the US immigration system continue to persist at the same levels as observed in the previous 24 hours, with no significant increases or decreases.
Disruption Score: 79. Based on the Reddit posts from the last 24 hours, the US immigration system remains highly disrupted. The disruption is driven by:
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Discussions revolve around the potential legal and policy ramifications of past errors, concerns about potential ICE enforcement actions, and hypothetical situations related to citizenship and adoption, all of which drive a high level of disruption. Trump related issues also generate uncertainty.
*Visa Processing Issues and Backlogs: Discussions are present regarding long processing times, interview cancellations, a general lack of communication, and difficulties scheduling interviews for certain visa categories. People continue to express frustration with delays and a lack of transparency in the system.
*Enforcement Concerns: Anxieties are present regarding potential ICE enforcement activity at traffic court, and concerns that come with removal proceedings, safety and discrimination concerns, and general safety issues. Fear about past criminal records, as well as job losses all contribute to disruption.
*System Navigation Difficulties: Many users continue to express difficulties navigating the system, understanding forms, what steps to take, and difficulties surrounding documentation and technical issues accessing government websites.
*Real Life Consequences: Financial strain for people filing petitions, potential job losses, difficulties surrounding travel and general safety all contribute to disruption.
Fear Index: 77. Overall, fear and anxiety remain elevated. The main factors are:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Deportation concerns remain a significant driver, particularly related to prior offenses and strict enforcement. Increased ICE activity and the safety of family members also contribute to this, especially around those who have a record or are facing the end of TPS.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Uncertainty about visa approvals, long processing times, potential denials, and financial instability drive anxiety. Travel related issues, and potential for visa fraud also drive anxiety.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties related to the possibility of policy changes, birthright citizenship, and concerns surrounding fairness add to fear levels. Trump related changes also generate fear.
*Economic Fears: Concerns about job security, economic prospects, and meeting financial requirements are prominent, including the fees associated with filing forms, as well as concerns about economic stability. Anxieties surrounding safety and discrimination in the US also remain. Fear for one's safety also continues to generate concern.
- Date: 2025-07-12
Disruption Score: 79 | Fear Index: 77Trend: Compared to the baseline, both the Disruption Score (50 to 79) and Fear Index (50 to 77) have significantly increased and remained relatively stable over the past 7 days, with minor fluctuations. Today's scores remain consistent with the average scores of the last 7 days. Disruption has stabilized at a high level. Anxieties have also remained high and stable.
Disruption Score: 79. The US immigration system remains highly disrupted, consistent with the previous days' observations. This disruption is driven by the following factors evident in the Reddit posts:
*Visa Processing Issues and Backlogs: Discussions revolve around the slowness of the system, such as people sharing timelines for receiving work authorizations, issues surrounding fee denials, and long wait times for document completion and green card renewals. Processing delays are specifically highlighted for the I-130, I-485, I-751, and N-400 forms.
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Continued discussions regarding how immigration law is applied, possible reasons for increased rejections, and the impact of potential policy changes all contribute to the disruption, such as potential changes to birthright EO, increased fees, questions surrounding stateless persons, asylees, and those with criminal records.
*Enforcement Concerns: Fears about enforcement actions, even against legal permanent residents with past indiscretions (such as DUIs), are apparent, as are questions regarding people facing deportation and what their chances are of success. This generates significant anxiety.
*System Navigation Difficulties: Many users continue to express difficulties navigating the system, understanding forms, what steps to take, and facing mistakes in submitted paperwork (such as truncated names, lost paperwork, invalid fees) and other advice to make a plan/take action.
*Real Life Consequences: Financial strain for people filing petitions and the implications of all of these issues, such as economic, health and job losses, drive a high level of disruption.
Fear Index: 77. Overall, fear and anxiety remain elevated. The main factors are:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Deportation concerns remain a significant driver, particularly related to prior offenses and strict enforcement. Increased ICE activity and the safety of family members also contribute to this, especially around those who have a record or are facing the end of TPS. Also contributing are the financial and health issues that come with potential job losses.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Uncertainty about visa approvals, long processing times, potential denials, and financial stability drive anxiety. Travel related issues also drive a large amount of anxiety.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties related to the possibility of policy changes, birthright citizenship, and concerns surrounding fairness add to fear levels. Trump related changes also generate fear.
*Economic Fears: Concerns about job security, economic prospects, and meeting financial requirements are prominent, including the fees associated with filing forms, as well as concerns about economic stability. Financial anxiety is a strong contributor.
- Date: 2025-07-11
Disruption Score: 79 | Fear Index: 77Trend: The Disruption Score remains the same as the previous 24-hour period. The Fear Index is down 1 point from the previous 24-hour period. Despite a slight decrease in the fear index, both scores remain elevated and are near recent highs. This suggests the overall situation is largely stable, but still significantly more disrupted and fear-inducing than the established baseline.
Disruption Score: 79. Based on the Reddit posts from the last 24 hours, the US immigration system continues to experience significant disruption. Factors are:
*Visa Delays and Processing Issues: Visa stamping and F1 visa issues continue. Discussion also highlights difficulties in obtaining appointments, and with obtaining visas for Baghdad, as well as concerns about the impact of saturated passports.
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Discussions around potential policy changes and the effects of the 'big beautiful bill' all contribute to disruption. Potential changes to EB1c also create disruption.
*Enforcement Concerns: Anxiety remains around ICE enforcement activity, and the concerns that come with removal proceedings, the difficulty surrounding falsified documents, the risk of detention at interviews and concerns with the DHS telling police that protest activities are violent tactics. Safety and discrimination concerns also generate disruption, and general safety issues also play a role.
*System Navigation Difficulties: Posts about navigating the process, needing lawyers, challenges in dealing with fake documents, difficulties surrounding what to provide and include, and difficulties associated with address changes all contribute to a high level of disruption. A number of people continue to be confused by the USCIS processes, including obtaining financial support and completing forms.
*Real Life Consequences: Job losses, the need for legal representation and general safety and financial concerns all contribute to the disruption score. Challenges related to a cancer diagnosis also contribute to disruption.
Fear Index: 77. Overall, fear and anxiety remain high. The main factors are:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: ICE enforcement activity and potential deportations contribute to this, especially around those who have a record or are facing the end of TPS. Safety and discrimination concerns, as well as fears around moving to Mexico also generate fear. Anxieties regarding safety and discrimination also remain high.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Uncertainty regarding visa approvals, long processing times, and the potential for cases to be denied continue to drive anxiety. Also contributing is case outcome anxiety, exacerbated by delays, denials and requests for evidence, such as those being experienced for I-751, and concerns surrounding denaturalization.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties about policy changes, including those related to birthright citizenship, as well as anxiety about fairness, and potential for inconsistent application of the rules remain high. Economic uncertainty related to potential Trump changes also generates fear.
*Economic Fears: Economic anxiety is being expressed, especially around job security and potential job loss, and people losing access to healthcare.
- Date: 2025-07-10
Disruption Score: 79 | Fear Index: 76Trend: Compared to the baseline (Disruption: 50, Fear: 50), both scores remain significantly higher. Compared to yesterday's scores (Disruption: 79, Fear: 77), disruption is stable and fear has decreased slightly.
Disruption Score: 79. Based on the Reddit posts from the last 24 hours, the US immigration system continues to experience significant disruption. Key factors identified are:
* Visa Delays and Processing Issues: Discussions continue around specific visa categories such as F1 and K1, as well as online passport renewals and issues related to overseas pharmacists. The challenges around consular appointments are also highlighted.
* Enforcement Concerns: Anxiety remains around ICE enforcement activity, and the concerns that come with overstays. Increased arrests in LA highlight heightened enforcement.
* Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Discussions about potential policy changes (like birthright citizenship, denaturalization) and the effects of the 'big beautiful bill' all contribute to disruption. Also noted are concerns about ICE funding increases.
* System Navigation Difficulties: Posts about navigating the process, needing lawyers, challenges in dealing with criminal history, and those who need to handle their cases on their own all contribute to a high level of disruption. A number of people continue to be confused by the USCIS processes.
* Real Life Consequences: Job losses, and general safety and financial concerns all contribute to the disruption score.
Fear Index: 76. Overall, fear and anxiety remain high. The main factors are:
* Deportation and Enforcement Fears: ICE enforcement activity and potential deportations contribute to this, especially around those who have a record or are facing the end of TPS. Safety and discrimination concerns also generate fear.
* Policy Change Fears: Anxieties about policy changes, including those related to birthright citizenship, as well as anxiety about fairness, and potential for inconsistent application of the rules remain high.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Uncertainty regarding visa approvals, long processing times, and the potential for cases to be denied continue to drive anxiety. Anxiety is also created surrounding international travel, especially in light of policy changes.
* Economic Fears: Economic anxiety is being expressed, especially around job security and potential job loss, and people losing access to healthcare.
- Date: 2025-07-09
Disruption Score: 79 | Fear Index: 77Trend: Compared to the previous day's scores (Disruption: 78, Fear: 75), today's Disruption Score has slightly increased to 79, while the Fear Index has also increased to 77. This indicates a marginal increase in both the level of disruption in the US immigration system and the general fear and anxiety surrounding immigration issues. This increase is likely driven by continued uncertainty surrounding potential policy changes, enforcement actions, visa processing issues, the consequences of previous immigration violations, and overall economic anxiety.
Disruption Score: 79. Based on the Reddit posts, the US immigration system is experiencing significant disruption. Multiple factors are driving this:
*Visa Processing Issues: Visa stamping delays continue to plague applicants, as seen in the question regarding passport retrieval after green card approval and questions about H1B Dropbox appointments and visa validity. The SEVIS transfer questions, problems with OPT applications (expired I-20), NVC processing timelines, and B1/B2 visa application problems further emphasize these disruptions.
*Enforcement Concerns: Fear is noted in various threads. Concerns are noted from a green card holder moving to Mexico, and other discussions highlight potential dangers and outcomes. Questions are raised surrounding family sponsorship applications, especially around those with a history of immigration issues.
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Questions arise from potential policy changes, people weighing their options (EB5 vs EB1C), individuals evaluating where to live to escape the state of affairs in the USA, and potential changes surrounding birthright citizenship. These questions demonstrate how current uncertainty is creating disruption. Also noted are questions surrounding potential denaturalization.
*System Navigation Difficulties: Many users express difficulty navigating the system, such as trouble related to a lost green card, and users asking for advice on their best options. All of these issues highlight the difficulties people are facing.
* Job market uncertainties: People continue to question H1B transfer and transfers after being laid off, job searches and difficulties obtaining employment.
Fear Index: 77. Fear and anxiety remain elevated due to the following:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxiety around ICE enforcement, potential deportations, those with criminal records, and general safety in the US remain. Anxieties also continue surrounding international travel.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Uncertainties around case outcomes (H1B, green card, citizenship) are evident, as exacerbated by stories and experiences of people facing delays, administrative processing, denials, and RFEs. Concerns related to social media vetting and long processing times remain.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties relating to potential policy changes, including birthright citizenship EO, remain present in the discussions.
*Economic Fears: job security worries, and economic stability are all being expressed, regarding finding work, as well as people expressing concerns about not being able to support themselves. Anxiety surrounding potential Trump related changes also generates fear.
- Date: 2025-07-08
Disruption Score: 78 | Fear Index: 75Trend: The Disruption Score remains high at 78, consistent with previous days, indicating ongoing systemic issues. The Fear Index remains at 75, showing sustained anxiety levels. Overall, the levels of disruption and fear related to US immigration have stabilized, but remain at elevated levels compared to the baseline.
Disruption Score: 78. The US immigration system continues to experience significant disruption. Key factors identified in the Reddit posts are:
*Visa Processing Delays and Issues: Continued mentions of delays in visa processing, challenges with specific visa types (F1, K1, B1/B2) and difficulties navigating websites for appointments. Discussions related to specific embassies (Barbados, Abu Dhabi, Islamabad, London) highlight geographical variations in processing challenges.
*Enforcement Concerns: Anxiety and disruptions arise from ICE activity, reporting to check-ins, and potential detentions. Concerns surrounding those with prior records (theft, DUI) and specific situations (detainees in Bluebonnet) further exacerbate the disruption.
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Policy changes continue to drive anxiety, such as those related to Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Hondurans and Nicaraguans. The ongoing legal battles related to 'parole in place', denaturalization policies, birthright citizenship, and the 'big beautiful bill' all generate further disruption.
*System Navigation Difficulties: Continued difficulties in navigating the complex paperwork and administrative processes (I-130, I-485, I-751, N-400, and more), what documents to include, where to submit, are also major contributors to the disruption score.
*Economic Concerns: Job losses or changes for those on H1B and OPT visas continue to create instability, as well as healthcare concerns.
Fear Index: 75. Overall, fear and anxiety remain high, driven by the following concerns:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxiety around ICE enforcement, potential deportations of those with criminal records (theft, DUIs), and general safety in the US remain. Concerns are also generated surrounding those facing the end of TPS.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Uncertainties around case outcomes, visa rejections, and long processing times are evident, exacerbated by stories and experiences of people being rejected or facing delays. Also noted are the challenges around travel, and visa revocations.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties related to potential policy changes, including birthright citizenship EO, and general fairness of the system are present in the discussions.
*Economic Concerns: Economic anxiety is being expressed, especially around job security and potential job loss.
- Date: 2025-07-07
Disruption Score: 78 | Fear Index: 75Trend: The Disruption Score is slightly lower than the previous 7 days, indicating a possible slight decrease in the level of disruption within the US immigration system. The Fear Index remains relatively stable compared to the past week, with concerns over enforcement, case outcomes, and policy changes consistently driving anxieties.
Disruption Score: 78. Based on the Reddit posts, the US immigration system is experiencing a high level of disruption. Here's a breakdown:
*Visa Processing Delays and Complexities: Many posts continue to discuss visa delays, appointment issues, and the difficulty in navigating the system. The F1, H1B, K1, and B2 visas are specifically mentioned. There are discussions about the change in passport pick up in India.
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Discussions regarding potential policy changes (e.g., around TPS for Haitians, EB1c concerns and denaturalization policies), contribute to the sense of disruption and uncertainty.
*Enforcement Concerns: Concern is generated from those facing potential deportation, the possibility of ICE apprehension while voluntarily leaving the country, and those who have check ins. The potential for ICE to deport a Pakistani to another country, and people being moved between facilities, all create disruption. Also seen are discussions surrounding previous criminal records.
*System Navigation: Continued threads of individuals who are unsure of what to do and what steps to take next creates disruption.
*Real Life Consequences: Posts about potential job loss, health concerns, and family separation all contribute to the human impact of the disruption score.
Fear Index: 75. The level of fear and anxiety about immigration in the US is high. The following factors are contributing:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxiety persists around ICE enforcement, travel restrictions, and potential deportations. The discussion surrounding Haitians facing the end of TPS and a news article about those concerns contributes to the fear, as do concerns about people being arrested at the airport.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Uncertainty around case outcomes, visa rejections, and long processing times is evident. This is exacerbated by concerns about potential I-485 denials, potential denial due to military PFA issues, and travel issues with a green card.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties related to potential policy changes, including birthright EO, are present in the discussions, as are concerns about general fairness.
*Personal safety concerns: Issues when moving to Mexico, and general safety and discrimination in the USA remain present.
- Date: 2025-07-06
Disruption Score: 77 | Fear Index: 74Trend: The disruption score remains high and relatively stable, showing a small decrease of 2 from the previous day. The fear index remains high and relatively stable, down 2 points from the previous day. This shows a stabilization within recent levels, though still significantly above the baseline.
Disruption Score: 77. The US immigration system continues to face significant disruption, with similar factors as previous days contributing to the score. Key factors include:
*Visa Processing Delays: Numerous posts address visa-related issues, from people seeking advice, to delays, and updates to website information for appointments. The specific issues surrounding F1 visas and those who had their visas rejected highlight challenges, as well as the K1 visa.
*Enforcement Concerns: Fear regarding ICE activity continues, with concerns about ICE detentions, those with criminal records and those trying to avoid cameras. Those with 'Withholding Order' status also express fears about traveling. Also contributing is a story about someone facing a 'Notice to Appear'.
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Continued confusion arises due to changes in policies, including the potential for inconsistent application of laws. Policy changes related to ICE funding are also present.
*System Navigation Difficulties: Many users express difficulty navigating the system, seeking advice on specific forms, what documents to include, and website navigation.
*Real Life Consequences: The deportation of people with DUIs is a source of great concern.
Fear Index: 74. Overall fear and anxiety remain high. The main factors are:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxiety around ICE enforcement, potential deportations of those with DUI offenses, and travel remain. Anxieties surrounding safety and discrimination in the US remain present.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Uncertainties about case outcomes, especially around long processing times and the potential for visa rejections, remain. Those who were rejected after the interview express high degrees of concern. This includes concerns about travel and the potential loss of green card status.
*Economic Anxieties: Economic anxiety is expressed, especially around job security, potential job loss, and financial stability.
*Family Separation: the separation of families, medical concerns, child birth related issues all continue to generate concern.
- Date: 2025-07-05
Disruption Score: 79 | Fear Index: 76Trend: Compared to the baseline, both Disruption and Fear indices are significantly elevated. Compared to the previous day, the Disruption score slightly increased from 78 to 79, while the Fear score is stable. This demonstrates ongoing disruption and elevated fear.
Disruption Score: 79. Disruption remains very high. Key factors are:
* Visa Processing: Discussions continue around visa delays, appointment issues and specific cases like the K1, F2, and B2 visas, reflecting ongoing challenges within the consular and visa stamping processes, as well as website navigation issues.
* Policy and Legal Concerns: Discussions regarding potential policy changes (e.g. around birthright citizenship, long term residents, and DACA recipients), overstays, immigration rules and legal processes contribute to disruption. Other posts point to the legal complexities individuals face while navigating the system, as well as those facing court removal proceedings.
* Enforcement: The topic of deportation, travel restrictions, ICE activity, criminal record issues and the potential for denaturalization, all of which feed into a climate of unpredictability and disturbance. The issues when crossing the border also create anxiety and concern. Also noted are concerns around how LPR's with criminal record are treated.
* System Navigation: The range of issues being posted, such as specific forms (like I-765, I-693, and I-131), the affidavit of support (I-864), and other general actions around getting a green card (or visa), demonstrate the challenge in navigating the immigration system. The discussion around obtaining citizenship for children is also a challenge in navigating the system.
Fear Index: 76. Fear levels remain high. Key drivers are:
* Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Anxieties continue to be present about potential policy changes, birthright citizenship, enforcement changes, visa rejections, and overall fairness of the system.
* Deportation and Enforcement Fears: The deportation of stateless people, concerns about travel, and general safety in the U.S. are still contributing factors. Those with criminal records have heightened fears. Concerns are also being expressed about H1B petitions and visa stamping rejections.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Users are expressing concerns about long processing times, social media checks, and the potential for denaturalization. This is exacerbated by the anxiety surrounding travel with a conditional green card, revoked visas, and uncertainty around case outcomes.
* Economic Fears: Economic anxiety is being expressed, especially around job security and potential job loss and economic well being.
- Date: 2025-07-04
Disruption Score: 78 | Fear Index: 75Trend: The Disruption Score is down 1 point from the previous day, remaining consistent with recent levels. The Fear Index is stable compared to the previous day.
Disruption Score: 78. The Reddit posts indicate a continued high level of disruption to the US immigration system. Visa processing difficulties, anxieties about enforcement, and policy changes all contribute. The key elements are:
* Enforecement Concerns: The 'What is it like working for ICE?' thread, and posts from those with prior records (ICE check ins) continue to generate concern.
* Visa Processing: Several threads point to continued delays and uncertainties in visa processing, such as F3 visa interview delays, H1B transfers and approvals, revoked visas. Also noted are problems with international students applying for OPT, and being laid off.
* Policy and Legal Concerns: Questions and discussions regarding the effects of the 'big beautiful bill', for remittances and healthcare, signal policy-driven disruption, including potential loss of Medicaid and Medicare access.
* Navigating the system: The stateless person, transgender, and complex document situation all demonstrate the challenge in navigating the immigration system.
Fear Index: 75. Fear and anxiety related to immigration are sustained due to a combination of deportation concerns, policy fears, and case outcome anxiety. Key aspects:
* Deportation Concerns: The thread about the green card holder's misdemeanor case and the general fear of ICE, and those trying to avoid ICE cameras indicate high levels of anxiety. The discussions around people being denied a green card (or visas) and general safety and discrimination are other drivers of fear.
* Policy Change Fears: Concerns and anxieties about the 'big beautiful bill,' H1B transfer difficulties, and policy changes regarding those awaiting green cards contribute to this high fear index.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Anxieties surrounding travel while pending, or visa issues are present. Concerns about specific forms, especially the I-751, and whether or not they will be admitted back into the USA also drive the anxiety.
- Date: 2025-07-03
Disruption Score: 79 | Fear Index: 76Trend: Disruption and fear remain elevated. Disruption is very similar to the previous day's score, while fear is slightly decreased. Birthright EO and enforcement concerns remain a key driver of both scores, and ongoing visa processing delays and system navigation issues continue to add to the disruption.
Disruption Score: 79. The US immigration system remains significantly disrupted, as indicated by the Reddit posts. This is supported by numerous factors:
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: The megathread summarizing birthright citizenship and denaturalization policies highlights ongoing legal and policy complexities, causing uncertainty and disruption. The discussion surrounding HR 875 also demonstrates that concern.
*Enforcement Concerns: Stories about ICE detentions, like the father held without basic amenities and the report of torture following deportation, continue to induce fear and disruption. The asylum hearing and 'F1 student breaking the law' posts are other examples.
*Visa Processing Delays: Many threads discuss visa delays and processing issues, such as the denial of boarding passes with valid B2 visas, B1/B2 visa rejections in Delhi, K1 visa processing delays, EAD delays, and general issues around the consular processes.
*System Navigation Issues: Multiple posts highlight the difficulty users face navigating the immigration system, such as trouble getting police certificates, understanding the implications of EOIR-42B, questions about I-485, and dealing with E-Verify.
*Personal Circumstances: The range of issues being posted, such as the user possibly facing deportation for a RO violation, the vehicle import duties, those facing medical healthcare concerns, VAWA application questions, concerns about the loss of their community, and other personal circumstances, demonstrate the human impact that increases disruption.
Fear Index: 76. Fear and anxiety surrounding immigration remain high, fueled by several factors:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Concerns around ICE enforcement, potential deportations to third countries, and general safety in the U.S. are prevalent. The article about torture in El Salvador is a significant contributor. The possibility of being deported despite not breaking the law creates anxiety. Additionally, a Reddit poster is worried about ICE coming to his door and also the travel with a green card post.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties related to potential policy changes, including the birthright citizenship EO and HR 875, are visible in the discussions.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Anxiety persists around case outcomes, visa rejections, and delays in obtaining permanent residency. This is exacerbated by concerns around social media vetting and financial burdens, and finding an attorney. Also concerns regarding visa revocations.
*Discrimination and Safety Concerns: The 'Question About Demographic Changes' thread, regardless of disingenuous nature, touches on fears related to demographic shifts and perceived double standards.
*Economic anxiety: job security worries, and economic stability are all being expressed, regarding finding work, as well as people expressing concerns about not being able to support themselves.
- Date: 2025-07-02
Disruption Score: 78 | Fear Index: 75Trend: The Disruption Score remains the same as yesterday, indicating continued high disruption in the US immigration system. The Fear Index also holds steady from yesterday, reflecting sustained high levels of anxiety. While there are fluctuations in the specific issues mentioned, the overall levels of disruption and fear are consistent with the recent trend.
Disruption Score: 78. The US immigration system continues to be significantly disrupted, with the score remaining consistent with the previous day. Several factors contribute to this high level of disruption:
*Visa Processing Issues: Ongoing and varied visa processing delays and challenges are prevalent. Examples include delays with F1 visas, OPT, and STEM OPT, as well as the need for Real IDs and documentation requirements. Also included are delays for Canadian K1 visa holders related to tax season and filing, and H1B delays, as well as website issues.
*Enforcement Concerns: ICE continues to be a source of concern, especially regarding detentions and deportations, contributing to disruption and anxiety. The fact that ICE is not able to view an asylum case in their system contributes directly to the disruption of the system.
*Policy and Legal Uncertainty: Uncertainty surrounding the new birthright citizenship executive order and potential changes to naturalization are also disruptive. The discussion around deporting people with DUIs also generates a sense of uncertainty and disruption.
*System Navigation Difficulties: The difficulties in navigating the system. This is demonstrated by numerous users asking for advice on specific forms, processes, what documents to include, and issues with website navigation.
*Consequences of Decisions: Users are noting that a bad decision can affect travel and access, and are discussing the issues when the I-485 is not properly withdrawn. Also noted are deportation proceedings after leaving the US. Also discussed is the impact on being able to stay in the USA when being on a UK graduate Visa.
*Transgender issues and mandatory military are noted as a challenge to immigration.
Fear Index: 75. The level of fear and anxiety about immigration in the US is high.
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: The primary driver remains the fear of deportation and aggressive enforcement by ICE, made worse by stories and news about ICE activity. The woman facing the military in Moldova is an extreme example of fear. Also noted is anxiety about traveling with a conditional green card. Concerns are also present about general safety and discrimination in the US.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Anxiety and uncertainty around case outcomes, visa rejections, and long processing times remain significant. There is anxiety surrounding the visa processes, and people are reporting being too tired to wait. Also generating concerns are the high legal fees, and loss of jobs, and concern about what will happen when you apply for naturalization and have a past.
*Economic concerns: economic anxiety is being expressed, especially around job security and potential job loss. People are expressing concerns regarding what salary is needed for an H1B.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties related to potential policy changes and fairness of the system, including birthright EO, are present in the discussions. Concerns about social media vetting and potential revocations is also present.
- Date: 2025-07-01
Disruption Score: 79 | Fear Index: 76Trend: The Disruption Score of 79 is increased compared to the baseline of 50 and slightly increased from yesterday's score of 77. This reflects continued system stress due to policy changes, enforcement concerns, and processing delays.
The Fear Index of 76 is increased compared to the baseline of 50 and remains consistent with yesterday's score of 76, indicating sustained high levels of anxiety related to immigration enforcement and legal stability.
Disruption Score: 79. The US immigration system remains highly disrupted. This is supported by several key observations from the Reddit posts:
* Policy Instability: The threat of deporting Elon Musk, whether serious or trolling, exemplifies the volatile nature of immigration discussions and contributes to disruption. Furthermore, this news item from USA TODAY is likely to increase fears surrounding immigration enforcement.
* Visa Processing: Visa delays are a recurring theme, specifically relating to Riyadh embassy, E2 spouse visa rejections, and general uncertainty related to biometrics. Also noted are social security issues related to benefits, and general fear and anxiety about visas.
* Enforcement Concerns: The request for safe haven terminology signals heightened fears and the 'Person detained at his check in with ice' narratives confirm this, directly contributing to disruption.
* System Navigation: Users are continuously seeking advice on complex processes, such as I-751 evidence requirements, filing I-485 without an SSN, obtaining Pakistani passports, and understanding CSPA eligibility.
* Employer Actions: The termination of employees' work visas based on nationality is a strong signal of systemic disruption, affecting employment stability and causing workforce challenges.
Fear Index: 76. The level of fear and anxiety in the US concerning immigration continues to be high. The key factors are:
* Deportation Concerns: The 'Code Word?' post signals increased anxiety and fear surrounding ICE activity and deportations, indicative of a heightened sense of vulnerability. The talk about deporting Elon Musk, regardless of its seriousness, feeds into the fear that citizenship is not secure.
* Legal Process Anxieties: The threat of Elon Musk being deported amplifies broader fears about the fairness and stability of the legal system.
* Personal safety: The 'should i leave the country?' post highlights a deep fear of personal safety among marginalized groups, directly contributing to an elevated anxiety level. Also contributing is the 'denaturalized for past DUIs' post, which signals a sense of instability.
* Visa Revocations: The uncertainty of a revoked visa is highlighted, as well as the social media requirements causing anxiety.
- Date: 2025-06-30
Disruption Score: 77 | Fear Index: 74Trend: The Disruption Score is holding steady with slight increases in the trend for the last few days. The Fear Index remains similarly high, with a continuing increase in anxiety around enforcement and third country deportations.
Disruption Score: 77. The US immigration system continues to experience significant disruption, scoring slightly above the previous day. This is evidenced by the following points extracted from the Reddit posts:
*Visa Processing Delays: Continued reports of significant delays. The Saudi Work visa stamping delay is a prime example, as well as continued 221g issues and general oath ceremony delays.
*Enforcement and Legal Concerns: The fear of ICE activity continues to be noted, and people are requesting advice in case ICE comes to their doors. Deportations to third countries are discussed, and general uneasiness among LPRs about travel.
*Policy Changes and Uncertainty: Concerns exist related to a lack of clarity around the EO and the effect on children, and a potential for inconsistent application of laws.
*System Navigation Difficulties: Many users express difficulty navigating the complexities of the immigration system, seeking advice on specific forms, what documents to include (like the I-693), and difficulty with website navigation.
*Stateless Person Issues: Concerns continue to arise about the deportation of stateless persons, and those with previous issues.
Fear Index: 74. The overall level of fear and anxiety regarding immigration issues remains high, with a slight uptick from previous levels. Key factors include:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxiety around ICE enforcement, potential deportations (especially of stateless people), and fears of travel remain high.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Uncertainty and fears about case outcomes, visa rejections, and long processing times are present, and concerns of social media checks.
*Economic Anxieties continue to be felt: economic anxiety is being expressed, especially around job security and potential job loss.
*EO continues to be a key element: People express concerns and fears about the birthright EO, and its potential effect on their children.
- Date: 2025-06-29
Disruption Score: 80 | Fear Index: 77Trend: Compared to the baseline, both Disruption and Fear Index are significantly elevated. Compared to the previous day, Disruption has increased slightly (76 to 80) and the Fear Index has increased slightly (74 to 77) indicating a continued upward trend.
Disruption Score: 80. The US immigration system remains highly disrupted, even slightly increased disruption than recent days. Contributing factors include:
* Birthright Citizenship: The uncertainty surrounding birthright citizenship, with the Supreme Court's decision and the potential for future policy changes, continues to create disruption and anxiety. The article shared by Nikol from USA TODAY increases concerns.
* Visa Processing Delays: Numerous posts highlight delays in various visa processes, including medical visas, oath ceremonies, and general processing times. AVITS website issues are recurring.
* Enforcement and Deportation Concerns: Fear of ICE continues, stemming from the ICE thuggery article, with detailed narratives about detainment and potential deportation. There is news about deportations to third countries like El Salvador.
* System Navigation Issues: Difficulty navigating the immigration system, demonstrated by issues with NVC, document submission, and a flood of questions around what action to take based on various scenarios.
* Legal Process Uncertainty: Posts about annulments and other legal hurdles generate a sense of uncertainty within the legal processes for green cards. The increase in this score is due to the birthright EO fears, third country deportations, and the recurring difficulty in system navigation.
Fear Index: 77. The overall level of fear and anxiety related to immigration remains high, slightly increased. Key contributors include:
* Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Concerns regarding ICE enforcement, potential deportations, and safety contribute to fear and anxiety. Fears are amplified by news about deportations, detentions and mistreatment.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Anxieties about visa rejections, delays, and long processing times remain significant. There is increasing fear around a number of specific processes, including green card process, and H1B opportunities.
* Economic Anxiety: Fears around job security, job loss, and financial stability continue to be expressed with people describing difficulty finding work, as well as people expressing concerns about what salary is needed for an H1B.
* Policy Change Fears: Fears about policy changes and fairness of the system are being expressed, regarding the travel ban, tracking visa overstays and other changes to the immigration processes. The birthright EO continues to be a key factor.
- Date: 2025-06-28
Disruption Score: 76 | Fear Index: 74Trend: Compared to the baseline (Disruption: 50, Fear: 50), both scores are significantly higher, indicating a major increase in disruption and fear. Compared to the previous day (Disruption: 79, Fear: 76), the Disruption Score has decreased slightly, and the Fear Index has also decreased slightly. This suggests the acute peak of disruption and fear related to birthright citizenship may be subsiding, but the overall levels remain elevated.
Disruption Score: 76. The US immigration system remains significantly disrupted based on the Reddit posts. This is due to several factors:
* Birthright Citizenship Concerns: Although SCOTUS has not yet ruled on the merits, anxiety is high and misinformation is rampant, contributing to disruption.
* Visa Processing Delays: Continued delays in visa processing, especially for H1B, OPT, and H4 EAD, continue to cause significant disruption. People are struggling with EAD extensions and getting H1B approvals, leading to anxiety about job security. The time it takes for the NVC to complete its process for the visa interview demonstrates the delays.
* Enforcement and Legal Concerns: The fear of ICE activity, potential deportations (especially for DACA recipients or those with old DUIs), and administrative processing delays continue to create anxiety and disruption. The discussion about a cousin detained by bounty hunters and handed over to ICE exemplifies the fear being felt.
* Policy Changes and Uncertainty: concerns about new rule changes being rolled out, as well as the EO, are being discussed.
Fear Index: 74. The fear and anxiety levels are also high.
* Deportation Fears: Anxieties around ICE enforcement, potential deportations to third countries, and general safety in the U.S. are still contributing factors. The arrest by bounty hunters and subsequent handoff to ICE increases this fear.
* Case Outcome Anxiety: Uncertainty about case outcomes, visa rejections, and delays in obtaining permanent residency continue to fuel anxiety. There is anxiety about losing H1B jobs and needing to leave the US. The new proposed rule (HR 875 on DUI deportations) exacerbates these fears.
* Policy Change Fears: Policy changes and fairness of the system: travel ban concerns, tracking visa overstays.
* Birthright Citizenship: The new EO regarding birthright citizenship generated discussions and potential fear about what documents are required to prove it.
- Date: 2025-06-27
Disruption Score: 79 | Fear Index: 76Trend: Both the Disruption Score and Fear Index have increased slightly compared to the previous day and are above the baseline, continuing the upward trend of the past week.
Disruption Score: 79. The US immigration system continues to face significant disruptions, slightly above yesterday's score, which factors in the recent trend. This is based on several points:
*Birthright Citizenship Uncertainty: The Supreme Court's decision to limit nationwide injunctions in birthright citizenship cases introduces uncertainty and potential for inconsistent application of laws across states, contributing to the overall disruption. This is a new, key element of disruption.
*Visa Processing Delays: Many Reddit posts highlight ongoing delays and complexities in visa processing, including B2 visa denials, and difficulties with OPT EAD for F1 visas. This includes issues with Mexico visa appointments and general visa processing times. These delays are a consistent source of disruption.
*Enforcement and Legal Concerns: Discussions about ICE detentions, potential deportations of migrants to third countries (South Sudan), and social media screenings contribute to enforcement concerns. Concerns about phone searches at ports of entry also generate significant anxiety and disruption.
*System Navigation Difficulties: Many users express difficulty navigating the immigration system. Issues with specific forms (DS-160), the AVITS website, and required documents continue to be prominent.
*Policy Changes and Uncertainty: The threads discussing potential new rules (HR 875 on drunk driving) and anxieties about potential policy changes and travel bans contribute to this score.
*Health care concerns continue: tourists are fearful of health care coverage, and whether or not they can be rejected, as well as the general fear about what options are available.
Fear Index: 76. The overall level of fear and anxiety related to immigration remains high, with a slight uptick from yesterday. Contributing factors include:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Anxieties about ICE enforcement, potential deportations, and general safety in the U.S. are still contributing factors. The concern about potential detentions increases the fear.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Discussions about visa rejections, delays, and administrative closures contribute to this anxiety. Concerns about misrepresentation is a contributing factor.
*Economic Anxieties: Concerns about job security, job loss, and finding work continue to be expressed.
*Policy Change Fears: Anxieties related to potential policy changes and the perceived fairness of the system, including social media vetting, are present in the discussions.
*General Safety and Discrimination: general concerns about safety in the US, as well as potential discrimination, are being expressed. There are concerns about general safety in the US.
- Date: 2025-06-26
Disruption Score: 78 | Fear Index: 75Trend: The Disruption Score increased slightly from 77 to 78, and the Fear Index increased slightly from 74 to 75. This indicates a continued trend of elevated disruption and fear within the US immigration system, consistent with discussions over the past week.
Disruption Score: 78. The US immigration system continues to face significant disruptions, slightly above yesterday's score. This is largely based on the following points:
*Social Media Screening Concerns: New concerns around social media policies, the potential for visa rejections based on social media activity, and the overall lack of clarity on how these policies will be enforced, contribute to a sense of disruption and anxiety among potential visa applicants.
*Visa Processing Delays: Widespread complaints about delays in visa processing continue, including specific cases of delayed oath ceremony notifications and interview scheduling. Many are waiting long periods for updates on their cases, which adds to the disruption score.
*Enforcement Concerns: High levels of anxiety about ICE activity persist, including fears of deportation, detentions, and the potential targeting of immigrants with criminal records, as well as immigrants with no criminal records.
*System Navigation Difficulties: The discussions reflect difficulties in navigating the immigration system. Users require help with specific forms, document requirements, and understanding eligibility criteria for various immigration benefits.
*Policy Changes and Uncertainty: Anxieties around changing policies, travel bans, and the fairness of the system remain prevalent.
*Real ID and Documentation Issues: Difficulties with obtaining Real IDs and navigating documentation requirements continue to cause problems.
Fear Index: 75. The overall level of fear and anxiety related to immigration remains high, with the following contributing factors:
*Deportation and Enforcement Fears: Fears surrounding ICE enforcement, potential deportations, and safety continue to be significant. The potential deportations for relatively minor offenses continues to generate anxiety.
*Case Outcome Anxiety: Anxiety about case outcomes, visa rejections, and delays in obtaining permanent residency continues to be significant.
*Social Media Screening Fears: The new social media policies for visa applicants increase fear and uncertainty, especially among students fearful of what they must include on the DS-160.
*Financial Anxiety: The financial burdens associated with the immigration process, including legal fees and potential loss of income due to visa delays or rejections, are a continuing source of anxiety.
